Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.058542 0.063347 0.068200 0.073461 0.078995 0.084636 0.090814
2025-04-20 0.050651 0.057674 0.065007 0.073208 0.082095 0.091409 0.101883
2025-04-27 0.045150 0.053802 0.063103 0.073786 0.085655 0.098378 0.112989
2025-05-04 0.041329 0.051294 0.062288 0.075208 0.089867 0.105877 0.124580
2025-05-11 0.038753 0.049875 0.062429 0.077479 0.094860 0.114142 0.136987
2025-05-18 0.033853 0.045353 0.058660 0.074956 0.094133 0.115753 0.141739
2025-05-25 0.030741 0.042700 0.056848 0.074498 0.095605 0.119728 0.149074
2025-06-01 0.028044 0.040340 0.055201 0.074066 0.096964 0.123465 0.156055
2025-06-08 0.026940 0.039876 0.055781 0.076256 0.101401 0.130787 0.167229
2025-06-15 0.025587 0.038986 0.055746 0.077619 0.104792 0.136848 0.176922
2025-06-22 0.024135 0.037860 0.055327 0.078434 0.107461 0.142017 0.185552
2025-06-29 0.022482 0.036357 0.054332 0.078444 0.109075 0.145874 0.192591
2025-07-06 0.021616 0.035913 0.054727 0.080268 0.113031 0.152697 0.203379
2025-07-13 0.019827 0.034078 0.053200 0.079546 0.113740 0.155527 0.209335
2025-07-20 0.018592 0.032953 0.052561 0.079930 0.115820 0.160034 0.217347
2025-07-27 0.017811 0.032433 0.052703 0.081317 0.119167 0.166116 0.227316
2025-08-03 0.017409 0.032445 0.053562 0.083653 0.123750 0.173768 0.239273
2025-08-10 0.015413 0.029925 0.050771 0.080964 0.121701 0.173009 0.240726
2025-08-17 0.014252 0.028616 0.049630 0.080466 0.122482 0.175799 0.246595
2025-08-24 0.013189 0.027391 0.048553 0.080003 0.123268 0.178569 0.252428
2025-08-31 0.012973 0.027523 0.049455 0.082309 0.127772 0.186141 0.264373
2025-09-07 0.012533 0.027258 0.049748 0.083744 0.131102 0.192211 0.274440
2025-09-14 0.011969 0.026748 0.049647 0.084601 0.133643 0.197260 0.283226